Classical narrative structure, as found in everything from Wizard Of Oz to Tron…

]]>It’d be interesting to see what the distribution of set lengths from your simulation method looks like. I wonder if it would look like the distribution from the stochastic approach that I took?

]]>I too built a Monte Carlo simulator for the fifth set but I used the in-match data rather than historical data for my parameters, namely % serves in play and % first and second serve points won for each player (available on e.g. wimbledon website). I’ve not sat down and had a look at the combinatorics at game level, I just ‘play’ the set once each morning on getting up. Longest so far? 43-41 Isner after two months!

All the best. Mark. ]]>